Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I will detract from our regularly scheduled program of NFL discussion to dip our feet into uncharted waters and leave our college football picks on the Monday night game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will probably be the first and only time this season we do so, as the last week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to a regular-season game of NCAA soccer featuring one of the best teams in the country, and a legendary soccer program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets start the discussion after my friend Doug Upstone got the better of me last week while the Titans were backed by me. Weve been swapping wins forth and back so it appears like it is my turn to get the gold wreath, as I will accompany all the squares laying the lumber that is heavy onto a public street favorite and endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the college football odds nearly six days prior to this Monday night affair, I see that the line has spiked a half-point about the preferred, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is currently offered at a solid -20 across the board whatsoever of the very best online sportsbooks.
Doug, I like the Irish but you are currently leaning on the Cardinals. Aside from the place, why do you believe Louisville will hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yup Swinger, IMO and at least a successful win, said a great deal about the direction of the Steelers and Titans. Lets proceed to soccer, will our records with this one and in which the matches rely.
Recall those Thursday night games Louisville utilized to perform against opponents that are big-name? They held their own and engineered upsets. These were enjoyable games and also the Cardinals were an club.
However, such as the former Papa Johns Stadium as well as its counterfeit (in real life) proprietor, Louisville soccer last season was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked wonders in Appalachian State and will be out to change the culture and win games. This wont happen right away as the talent level is down from theVille. This is a moment for Louisville, a team which has the opportunity to begin taking actions.
Ive read where the Cards trainers have popped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall because the lead running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 the protection, well, that makes me more nervous. Please do tell why youve got up your Irish.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing much as the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable inside their nest, flying into this match. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and hes got a group this past year, in which they went winless in ACC action coming from a dismal album. This rebuild is comparable to taking a hot air balloon and attempting to turn it.
While that may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is confronting a team which made it to the CFP last year and possessed one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points within the regular season and going a perfect 12-0 until they met Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense has been clicking on all cylinders averaging over 33 points per match.
So, my query is, just how can be a quarterback like Pass who is slow to release, designed to obtain any traction against a swarming defense that is Irish? Particularly when he is working with an offensive strategy and a trainer?
Please, Doug, rescue me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form where Louisville is going to have the ability to keep pace and I am desperate to your ancestral wisdom and handicapping expertise that is prodigious!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im happy to see in your last sentence you are coming around to the glowing side of sports gambling, or youre just being the exact shrewd a** you are. I will allow the SBR readers who are making this is decided on by school football selections. I am the first to understand Louisville was 1-11 ATS, although not just 2-10 and completely sucked last season.
Just like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons but coach Bobby Petrino was given up on by that team COMPLETELY. A new coach brings a fresh attitude and his team will be sold by Satterfield on making a statement, this being a game. Louisville does have to trust they will not be taken by the Irish and not have much fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with gold and the blue is ATS as a road favorite, also a ATS if dishing out 20 or more specimens. This defense you said may improve as the year progresses but substituting five starters, even if you dont/cant amuse like Bama or Clemson, it will take some time.
I was a bit facetious because although you have an impressive handicapping resume, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this scenario, you happen to be shooting blanks because Louisville might be better but Id submit that they are trained by a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their deplorable document rendered by an trainer such as Petrino.
I know that laying nearly three touchdowns on the road is square biz for certain and Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy street chalk, but at times the public is right, and also in this case they are. Until when we get down on our NFL Game of the Week next week, lets see what happens on Monday night once the Irish come ready to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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